MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:45:03| >> :60:23:23:
Argentina national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 1am UK
Hard Rock Stadium
Peru national football team

Argentina
2 - 0
Peru

Martinez (47', 86')
Paredes (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guerrero (28'), Cartagena (36'), Flores (53'), Zambrano (88'), Cueva (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Sunday's Copa America clash with Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Chile 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, June 26 at 2am in Copa America

Peru

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America

We said: Argentina 2-0 Peru

 Having drawn a blank in front of goal in their first two group games, Peru must find their shooting boots on Saturday if they are to have any chance of claiming the victory that they need to boost their hopes of reaching the quarter-finals. However, it is difficult to envisage a Peruvian triumph in Florida; La Blanquirroja have not beaten Argentina in any competition since securing a 2-1 victory at the 1997 Copa America, and although Scaloni is without Messi and will make changes to his first XI, La Albiceleste should have enough strength in depth to come out on top and seal first position in Group A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.98%) and 3-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawPeru
72.27% (1.283 1.28) 18.62% (-0.758 -0.76) 9.11% (-0.5279 -0.53)
Both teams to score 37.68% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (1.473 1.47)51.47% (-1.475 -1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (1.268 1.27)73.27% (-1.271 -1.27)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (0.828 0.83)12.9% (-0.829 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.69% (1.672 1.67)39.31% (-1.675 -1.68)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.26% (-0.223 -0.22)56.73% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.11% (-0.127 -0.13)88.89% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 72.25%
    Peru 9.11%
    Draw 18.62%
ArgentinaDrawPeru
2-0 @ 15.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 14.98% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-0 @ 10.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.161 0.16)
4-0 @ 5.37% (0.339 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.173 0.17)
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.202 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 72.25%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 2.41% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 9.11%

How you voted: Argentina vs Peru

Argentina
85.8%
Draw
10.1%
Peru
4.1%
169
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Peru
0-2
Argentina

Yotun (45'), Advincula (74')
Messi (32', 42')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Peru
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Peru
0-2
Argentina
> Preview
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
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Argentina
0-0
Peru
rhs 2.0
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