MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 23:14:22| >> :60:312:312:
Peru national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Paraguay national football team

Peru
0 - 0
Paraguay


Zambrano (78')
FT

Bareiro (68'), Alonso (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 4-1 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, March 27 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Paraguay 0-1 Colombia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Peru 1-0 Paraguay

Peru look like a different side since the coaching change, and although we believe Paraguay will present a much stiffer challenge for them, La Albirroja have not been quite as convincing in the attacking third as La Bicolor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.83%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
PeruDrawParaguay
61.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 25.1% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 13.56% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 34.59% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)64.05% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)21.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (-0.052 -0.05)53.88% (0.052 0.05)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.82% (0.084000000000003 0.08)56.18% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.43% (0.048 0.05)88.57% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peru 61.33%
    Paraguay 13.56%
    Draw 25.1%
PeruDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 18.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 14.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 61.33%
0-0 @ 11.83%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 13.56%

How you voted: Peru vs Paraguay

Peru
79.4%
Draw
7.9%
Paraguay
12.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-0
Peru
Advincula (15'), Araujo (26')
Advincula (45')
Nov 17, 2022 1am
International Friendly
Peru
1-0
Paraguay
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
Jul 2, 2021 10pm
Quarter-Finals
Peru
3-3
Paraguay
(Aggregate 3-3 | Peru win 4-3 on penalties)
Lapadula (21', 40'), Yotun (80')
Santamaria (15'), Cueva (60'), Carrillo (75')
Carrillo (85')
Gomez (11'), Alonso (54'), Avalos (90')
Gomez (42'), Villasanti (49'), Espinola (87')
Gomez (45+3')
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
2-2
Peru
Romero (66', 81')
Cubas (35'), Espinola Gimenez (43'), Villasanti (84')
Carrillo (52', 85')
Zambrano (18')
rhs 2.0
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