MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:45:11| >> :60:85:85:
Peru national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Children's Mercy Park
Canada national football team

Peru
0 - 1
Canada


Araujo (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (74')
Laryea (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Peru and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, June 22 at 1am in Copa America

Canada

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America

We said: Peru 1-0 Canada

 In these big tournaments, you have to take advantage of the opportunities presented to you, and just as we saw in the 2022 World Cup, Canada have not been able to find that decisive quality against superior opponents. Peru may not possess as much attacking depth as the Canadians, but their rock-solid backline and experienced strikers have proven they can create a magical moment when needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Canada in this match.

Result
PeruDrawCanada
31.2% (0.288 0.29) 26.89% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 41.91% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.226 0.23)54.76% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.187 0.19)76.07% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.32299999999999 0.32)32.3% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.362 0.36)68.8% (-0.36 -0.36)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.79% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)60.75% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Peru 31.2%
    Canada 41.91%
    Draw 26.88%
PeruDrawCanada
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.32% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.045 0.05)
3-0 @ 2% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 11.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.91%

How you voted: Peru vs Canada

Peru
44.0%
Draw
20.4%
Canada
35.6%
225
rhs 2.0
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