World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 10, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Futbol
Montserrat1 - 3Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Montserrat 0-3 Panama
There is a good amount of continuity at Montserrat, with many players featuring at various clubs in the EFL, but we believe they need more experience against the stronger opponents in this region. Panama are among the strongest sides in CONCACAF qualifying, and their midfield workhorses should be able to win their share of possession and create openings this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Panama |
12.52% ( -0.35) | 18.63% ( -0.59) | 68.85% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
