Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Levi's Stadium
Ecuador1 - 2Venezuela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Honduras
Sunday, June 16 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 16 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Venezuela
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in International Friendlies
We said: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
There is not an awful lot to choose between these two sides, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, but we are just backing Ecuador to have enough to navigate their way to a vital victory in their opening match of what is shaping up to be a fascinating competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.84%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Venezuela |
47.5% ( 0.08) | 29.22% ( -0.01) | 23.28% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 39.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0) | 66.25% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.24% ( -0) | 84.75% ( 0) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.04) | 28.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.98% ( 0.05) | 64.02% ( -0.06) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.07) | 45.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.76% ( -0.06) | 81.24% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Ecuador 47.49%
Venezuela 23.27%
Draw 29.21%
| Ecuador | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 47.49% | 0-0 @ 12.84% 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.27% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Venezuela
Ecuador
72.6%Draw
16.3%Venezuela
11.1%135
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 10pm
Nov 11, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-0
Venezuela
Oct 10, 2021 9.30pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-1
Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Jun 2, 2019 2am
