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World Cup
Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 22, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Venezuela national football team

Peru
1 - 1
Venezuela

Yotun (17')
Lopez (27'), Yotun (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savarino (54')
Machis (24'), Osorio (44'), Castillo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 2-0 Peru
Thursday, November 16 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Peru 0-0 Venezuela

 Peru have looked a shadow of the side of years gone by in this section so far, so they will need to make home advantage count in order to get their campaign back on track. Despite having never before won in Peru, Venezuela have looked inspired in this campaign so far and could continue their unbeaten streak with another decent result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PeruDrawVenezuela
37.34% (0.012 0.01) 29.93% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 32.73% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.1%83.9% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.49% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (-0.012 -0.01)36.64% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peru 37.34%
    Venezuela 32.73%
    Draw 29.92%
PeruDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.92%
0-1 @ 12.32%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 32.73%

How you voted: Peru vs Venezuela

Peru
29.5%
Draw
22.7%
Venezuela
47.7%
44
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
1-2
Peru
Machis (52')
Gonzalez (30'), Hernandez (64')
Lapadula (18'), Cueva (65')
Advincula (42'), Yotun (61'), Trauco (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2021 2am
Group Stage
Peru
1-0
Venezuela
Cueva (35')
> Preview
Jun 27, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
0-1
Peru

Hernandez (21')
Carrillo (48')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
0-0
Peru
Mago (6'), Herrera (82')
Mago (75')
Tapia (26'), Carrillo (93')
Jun 19, 2015 12.30am
Group Stage
Peru
1-0
Venezuela
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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