MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 14:47:03| >> :60:93:93:
Jamaica national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Venezuela national football team

Jamaica
0 - 3
Venezuela


Hector (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bello (49'), Rondon (56'), Ramirez (85')
Machis (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Jamaica and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Jamaica 0-2 Venezuela

Given that neither side have much to play for, we expect to see several new faces in the starting 11 this weekend. Being written off at the start of this tournament seems to have struck a chord with Venezuela, and we expect them to keep their momentum going against a Jamaican side seemingly frustrated by how this tournament has transpired for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawVenezuela
39.67% (0.301 0.3) 28.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 31.71% (-0.315 -0.32)
Both teams to score 45.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (-0.109 -0.11)60.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)80.93% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.123 0.12)29.96% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.148 0.15)66.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.285 -0.28)35.15% (0.28700000000001 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.299 -0.3)71.9% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 39.67%
    Venezuela 31.71%
    Draw 28.62%
JamaicaDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 39.67%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 11.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Venezuela

Jamaica
15.9%
Draw
16.7%
Venezuela
67.4%
132
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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