MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:06:06| >> :60:158:158:
Mexico national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Ecuador national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Ecuador


Montes (6'), Sanchez (50'), Chavez (73'), Vasquez (82'), Uriel (90+4')
FT

Caicedo (43'), Caicedo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Mexico and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America

We said: Mexico 0-2 Ecuador

The Mexicans have been wasteful in front of goal throughout this tournament, and we believe those frustrations will boil over against a well-drilled Ecuadorian squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawEcuador
40.71% (0.108 0.11) 27.3% (-0.149 -0.15) 31.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.446 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.561 0.56)56.11% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.452 0.45)77.18% (-0.45899999999999 -0.46)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.322 0.32)27.06% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.42 0.42)62.43% (-0.428 -0.43)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.312 0.31)32.43% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.352 0.35)68.95% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 40.7%
    Ecuador 31.99%
    Draw 27.29%
MexicoDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Mexico vs Ecuador

Mexico
21.5%
Draw
19.8%
Ecuador
58.8%
177
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12.30am
International Friendly
Mexico
0-0
Ecuador
Gallardo (66')
Caicedo (60')
Oct 28, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
2-3
Ecuador
Alvarado (6'), Rodriguez (59')
Alvarez (50')
Quinonez (2'), Corozo (15'), Chala (75')
Estrada (49')
Jun 10, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Mexico
3-2
Ecuador
Dos Santos (28'), Montes (63'), Rodriguez (77')
Mena (47'), Preciado (66')
Velasco (80'), Arboleda (88')
Jun 19, 2015 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!