Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
34.3% ( -0.04) | 26.66% ( 0.06) | 39.04% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( -0.25) | 53.12% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( -0.21) | 74.69% ( 0.21) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.15) | 29.39% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( -0.18) | 65.37% ( 0.18) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.13) | 26.58% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.2% ( -0.17) | 61.8% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |