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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Sevilla logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Sevilla

Veiga (33')
Beltran (15'), Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal (75'), Mallo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salas (54')
Angel Carmona (9'), Jordan (30'), Lamela (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gernika 0-3 Celta Vigo
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Torremolinos 0-3 Sevilla
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla

This is a huge match for both sides, and we are expecting it to be a cagey affair. Sevilla will fancy their chances of putting a run of results together in the near future, but the visitors might have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawSevilla
34.3% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 26.66% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 39.04% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-0.25 -0.25)53.12% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.214 -0.21)74.69% (0.212 0.21)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.146 -0.15)29.39% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.178 -0.18)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.131 -0.13)26.58% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-0.173 -0.17)61.8% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 34.3%
    Sevilla 39.04%
    Draw 26.65%
Celta VigoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.04%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo
21.4%
Draw
34.7%
Sevilla
43.9%
98
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
Apr 12, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-4
Sevilla
Aspas (20' pen., 23'), Mendez (43')
Aspas (10'), Mallo (50'), Mendez (74')
Kounde (7'), Fernando (35'), Rakitic (60'), Papu (76')
Kounde (19'), Carlos (58')
Nov 21, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
4-2
Celta Vigo
Kounde (5'), En-Nesyri (45+3'), Escudero (85'), El Haddadi (87')
Navas (2'), Escudero (73')
Aspas (10'), Nolito (36')
Suarez (54'), Mallo (72')
Feb 9, 2020 5.30pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Sevilla
Aspas (78'), Sisto (91')
Murillo (51'), Mallo (79'), Smolov (80')
En-Nesyri (23')
Carlos (63'), Escudero (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna186752327-425
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
15Leganes194781829-1119
16AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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