Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio A Lomba
Arosa0 - 3Granada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Granada 2-3 Villarreal
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Arosa 1-4 Granada
Granada have experienced a poor start to the campaign, and we think that their leaky defence could ship a goal on Thursday, but we still expect the top-flight visitors to show enough quality to ease through to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arosa | Draw | Granada |
13.1% ( -0.22) | 20.21% ( -0.16) | 66.68% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
