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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Villarreal logo

Granada
2 - 3
Villarreal

Sanchez (29'), Uzuni (34')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Moreno (18', 23' pen.), Sorloth (28')
Baena (50'), Albiol (67'), Romero (73'), Parejo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Granada
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 2-2 Villarreal

Villarreal are difficult to back at the moment, and we can see the points being shared here. Granada actually held Barcelona to a draw before the international break, and they have lost just one of their last four matches at home, so we are expecting the spoils to be shared in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawVillarreal
30.53% (1.616 1.62) 26.3% (0.964 0.96) 43.17% (-2.576 -2.58)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-2.155 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (-3.214 -3.21)52.68% (3.217 3.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-2.817 -2.82)74.32% (2.822 2.82)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.485 -0.48)31.7% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.562 -0.56)68.12% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-2.595 -2.6)24.22% (2.598 2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-3.828 -3.83)58.56% (3.833 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.53%
    Villarreal 43.16%
    Draw 26.29%
GranadaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.963 0.96)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.492 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.53%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.93 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.55 0.55)
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.347 -0.35)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.513 -0.51)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.331 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.315 -0.32)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.16%

How you voted: Granada vs Villarreal

Granada
19.3%
Draw
35.1%
Villarreal
45.6%
114
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Granada
1-4
Villarreal
Milla (61' pen.)
Sanchez (32'), Uzuni (34'), Torrente (80')
Danjuma (35' pen., 39', 81'), Gomez (90+6')
Lo Celso (33'), Estupinan (45+4'), Aurier (60'), Chukwueze (68'), Asenjo (75'), Iborra (90+2')
Aug 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Villarreal
0-0
Granada
Foyth (20'), Moreno (41'), Capoue (53'), Pena (85')
Foyth (82')
Sanchez (71')
Apr 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Granada
0-3
Villarreal

Soldado (38'), Quini (45+1')
Moreno (9' pen., 18', 60')
Parejo (22'), Gaspar (43')
Jan 20, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Villarreal
2-2
Granada
Pena (29'), Gomez (65' pen.)
Trigueros (80'), Coquelin (90+5')
Soldado (21'), Kenedy (75')
Milla (15'), Herrera (35'), Machis (90'), Duarte (90+5')
Brice Eteki (90+1')
Jun 19, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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