La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
We said: Granada 2-2 Villarreal
Villarreal are difficult to back at the moment, and we can see the points being shared here. Granada actually held Barcelona to a draw before the international break, and they have lost just one of their last four matches at home, so we are expecting the spoils to be shared in Monday's fixture.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.17% . A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.72%) . The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result Granada Draw Villarreal 30.53% ( 1.62) 26.3% ( 0.96) 43.17% ( -2.58)
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -2.15)
47.32% ( -3.21) 52.68% ( 3.22)
25.68% ( -2.82) 74.32% ( 2.82)
68.3% ( -0.48) 31.7% ( 0.49)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.88% ( -0.56) 68.12% ( 0.57)
75.78% ( -2.6) 24.22% ( 2.6)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.44% ( -3.83) 58.56% ( 3.83)
Granada 30.53%
Villarreal 43.16%
Draw 26.29%
Granada Draw Villarreal 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.53% 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.29% 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.16%
How you voted: Granada vs Villarreal
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rhs 2.0
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