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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Granada logo

Almeria
3 - 3
Granada

Suarez Charris (41', 44', 45+1')
Puigmal (65'), Akieme (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Zaragoza (66' pen.), Sanchez (70'), Uzuni (86')
Jose Lopez Fernandez (69+69'), Villar (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 5-1 Almeria
Tuesday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Granada

This is a really important match, even at this stage of the season, as a poor result for either could cause major confidence issues. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGranada
41.7% (1.37 1.37) 26.3% (-0.135 -0.13) 32% (-1.231 -1.23)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.84% (0.245 0.25)52.16% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (0.212 0.21)73.87% (-0.206 -0.21)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.825 0.83)24.73% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (1.139 1.14)59.28% (-1.133 -1.13)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.693 -0.69)30.42% (0.698 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (-0.833 -0.83)66.62% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 41.69%
    Granada 32%
    Draw 26.29%
AlmeriaDrawGranada
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.69%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32%

How you voted: Almeria vs Granada

Almeria
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Granada
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 30
Almeria
0-0
Granada
Brice Eteki (38'), Owona (41')
Fede (17'), Diaz Miguel (38'), Ojeda (81'), Puertas (90')
Oct 27, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 11
Granada
1-0
Almeria
Pozo (89')
Puertas (44'), Rodri (44'), Sanchez (45'), Montoro (90')

Carlos (45'), Brice Eteki (68')
May 13, 2018 7pm
Almeria
2-0
Granada
Munoz (41', 90')
Marreh (39'), Motta (68'), Morcillo (90')

Saunier (13'), Baena (46'), Montoro (82')
Dec 8, 2017 5pm
Granada
3-2
Almeria
Diaz Miguel (43'), Machis (48'), Pedro (90')
Joselu (80')
Alcaraz (63'), Morcillo (90')
Alcaraz (26')
Apr 11, 2015 9pm
Almeria
3-0
Granada
Teye (45', 87'), Espinosa (59')
Soriano (20'), Bifouma (42'), Teye (46'), Dos Santos (63')

Cala (31'), Nyom (50'), Marquez (62'), Insua (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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