Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Granada |
41.7% ( 1.37) | 26.3% ( -0.13) | 32% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.84% ( 0.25) | 52.16% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.13% ( 0.21) | 73.87% ( -0.21) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% ( 0.83) | 24.73% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% ( 1.14) | 59.28% ( -1.13) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% ( -0.69) | 30.42% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.38% ( -0.83) | 66.62% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |