Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Numancia0 - 1Sporting Gijon
Ribeiro De Aguiar (55'), De Frutos Balbas (59'), Bonilla (79'), Conte Barahona (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia Oyon (60')
Mbemba (32')
Mbemba (32')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Numancia and Sporting Gijon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Numancia (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Albacete 3-3 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Numancia win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Numancia | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 26.16% | 28.12% | 45.71% |
| Both teams to score 44.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
