We said: Rayo Majadahonda 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Simeone will ring the changes for this match, with a number of youngsters set to be in the squad, so Rayo will not be taking on a full-strength Atletico, but it is still very difficult to imagine anything other than a routine victory for the visitors, who should have too much quality on the night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rayo Majadahonda had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Rayo Majadahonda win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
