Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Granada had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
24.25% | 24.24% | 51.51% |
Both teams to score 53.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.8% | 48.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.64% | 70.35% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% | 34.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.05% | 70.95% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% | 18.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.93% | 50.06% |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.87% 2-1 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 9% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |