MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:29:35| >> :60:97:97:
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Oct 13, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Flamengo

Corinthians
0 - 0
Flamengo

FT

Gomes (22'), Luiz (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 9 at 1am in Brasileiro

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, October 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo

 Flamengo have never lost the opening fixture in their seven previous appearances in the final of this competition, though they are going up against one of the best Brazilian sides at home on Wednesday. Both of these coaches are aggressive in their tactics and have match winners who they can depend on, but we are predicting a draw because these opening games tend to be cagier affairs with less urgency, knowing that this is a two-leg final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
36.79% (0.029999999999994 0.03) 27.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.57% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (0.025999999999996 0.03)56.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.13% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.030999999999992 0.03)29.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 36.79%
    Flamengo 35.79%
    Draw 27.42%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Flamengo

Corinthians
34.7%
Draw
30.6%
Flamengo
34.7%
49
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2022 1.30am
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Pedro (52')
Pereira (25')

Gustavo (62')
Mendez (68')
Aug 3, 2022 1.30am
Corinthians
0-2
Flamengo

Cantillo (35')
De Arrascaeta (37'), Barbosa (51')
Maia (12'), Rodinei (22')
Jul 10, 2022 8pm
Corinthians
1-0
Flamengo
Rodinei (52' og.)
Ramos (35'), Giovane (81')
Gustavo (36')

Bruno (16'), Gomes (75'), Pedro (90+3'), Barbosa (90+7')
Nov 18, 2021 12.30am
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Henrique (90+4')
Gabriel (40')

Pereira (23'), Victor (40')
Aug 1, 2021 8pm
Corinthians
1-3
Flamengo
Vitinho (89')
Roni (42')
Ribeiro (7'), Henrique (40'), Henrique (45')
De Arrascaeta (70')
rhs 2.0
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