Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Sao Paulo1 - 3Flamengo
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | America Mineiro | 23 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 3 | 29 |
12 | Goias | 23 | -5 | 29 |
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Fluminense | 23 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Flamengo | 23 | 18 | 40 |
4 | Internacional | 23 | 11 | 39 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Flamengo |
38.09% ( 1.76) | 27.24% ( -0.16) | 34.67% ( -1.6) |
Both teams to score 50.06% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.6% ( 0.54) | 55.4% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.4% ( 0.44) | 76.6% ( -0.44) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.8% ( 1.31) | 28.2% ( -1.31) |