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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK
Mineirão
Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 2
Fortaleza

Rubens (76'), Rever (87'), Jussa (90+6' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romarinho (3', 29')
Ronald (53'), Boeck (78'), Crispim (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Fortaleza

While Atletico Mineiro will be considered as favourites for Saturday's contest, an upturn in form for Fortaleza suggests that a closely-fought encounter could be on the cards. Nevertheless, the hosts should have enough quality in their side, particularly in the final third, to come away with all three points in Belo Horizonte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFortaleza
65.43% (-1.117 -1.12) 20.72% (0.465 0.47) 13.84% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (-0.564 -0.56)48.52% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (-0.515 -0.51)70.65% (0.511 0.51)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)14.03% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.41% (-1.021 -1.02)41.59% (1.015 1.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.73% (0.651 0.65)46.27% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.07% (0.495 0.5)81.93% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 65.42%
    Fortaleza 13.84%
    Draw 20.72%
Atletico MineiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.51% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.2% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.42%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.221 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 13.84%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Fortaleza
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
May 30, 2021 3pm
Atletico Mineiro
1-2
Fortaleza
Hulk (40' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (36'), Rabello (45+1')
Pikachu (60', 90+4')
Felipe (38'), Paulista (39'), Crispim (79'), Ederson (87')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Fortaleza
Arana (57'), Vargas (67')

de Souza (66')
Oct 8, 2020 1.30am
Fortaleza
2-1
Atletico Mineiro
David (37'), Melo (85')
Felipe (32'), David (67'), Dias (69')
Felipe (38')
Sasha (42')
Sasha (44'), Mariano (72'), Keno (90+5')
Nov 2, 2019 8pm
Fortaleza
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Dias (15', 28')
de Souza (59'), Felipe (73'), Paulista (88')
Patric (24'), Santos (87')
Geuvanio (36'), Rever (66'), Di Santo (74')
Geuvanio (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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