Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima1 - 2Libertad
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Club Libertad.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Club Libertad |
41.93% ( 0.04) | 27.81% ( 0) | 30.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
