MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:50:37| >> :60:151:151:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
4 - 0
Monagas

Weigandt (39'), Barco (61'), Vasquez (86', 89')
Valdez (18'), Barco (62')
Valdez (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carrion (30'), Arroyo (44'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Arroyo (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Monagas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 4-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, June 23 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division

Monagas

All competitions
Last Game: Monagas 1-0 Dep. Pereira
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Boca Juniors 1-0 Monagas

 Given a distinct shortage of goals for Monagas this season, the plucky side from Maturin are set to drop out of the Copa Libertadores at its group stage following defeat in Buenos Aires. Even if they make a number of changes, Boca Juniors boast more nous at continental level and will have a point to prove following an embarrassing loss last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawMonagas
66.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 20.93% (0.004999999999999 0) 12.74% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)51.63% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)73.41% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.75% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)42.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.07% (-0.122 -0.12)49.92% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)84.6% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 66.32%
    Monagas 12.74%
    Draw 20.93%
Boca JuniorsDrawMonagas
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 66.32%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 12.74%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Monagas

Boca Juniors
65.4%
Draw
26.9%
Monagas
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Monagas
0-0
Boca Juniors
rhs 2.0
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