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Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
4 - 0
Bolivar

Gerson (1'), Lucas (38'), Everton (43'), Pedro (56')
Savio (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Sagredo (6'), Barbosa (89'), Savio (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Bolivar
Thursday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 11.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBolivar
72.89% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 16.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 11.04% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86% (0.066999999999993 0.07)34.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97% (0.074999999999996 0.07)56.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)8.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.52% (0.073999999999998 0.07)28.48% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)41.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 72.89%
    Bolivar 11.04%
    Draw 16.07%
FlamengoDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.59% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 72.89%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.07%
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 11.04%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
2-1
Flamengo
Da Costa (2'), Savio (62')
Vina (5')
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
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9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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