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Copa Libertadores
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
3 - 0
Millonarios

Pedro (7', 44'), Pablo Vargas (25' og.)
Henrique (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Giraldo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Millonarios, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Amazonas 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios

 While it is unusual to see Flamengo potentially on the brink of elimination at this stage, we believe their experience in win-or-go-home scenarios, along with their strong form at home, will enable them to prolong their Libertadores adventure into the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawMillonarios
75.47% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 15.77% (-0.035 -0.04) 8.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.3% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (0.11 0.11)40.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (0.113 0.11)62.58% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (0.037000000000006 0.04)9.01% (-0.039099999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.69% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.21% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.2% (0.029 0.03)84.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 75.45%
    Millonarios 8.76%
    Draw 15.77%
FlamengoDrawMillonarios
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.33% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 75.45%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.77%
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 8.76%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Millonarios

Flamengo
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Millonarios
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Millonarios
1-1
Flamengo
Ruiz (80')
Castro (21')
Vasquez (61')
Pedro (64' pen.)
Araujo (84')
rhs 2.0
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