Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Fluminense1 - 0The Strongest
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and The Strongest.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Fluminense
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 3-1 River Plate
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | The Strongest |
70.35% ( -0.02) | 18.37% ( 0.01) | 11.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.02) | 44.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.02) | 66.85% ( 0.02) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.58% ( -0.01) | 11.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.02) | 36.19% ( 0.02) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.05% ( 0.01) | 47.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.8% ( 0) | 83.2% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Fluminense 70.34%
The Strongest 11.28%
Draw 18.37%
| Fluminense | Draw | The Strongest |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.34% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 18.37% | 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 11.28% |
How you voted: Fluminense vs The Strongest
Fluminense
80.0%Draw
0.0%The Strongest
20.0%5
Form Guide
