Cristal

1 - 3

Fluminense

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.