MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:56:21| >> :60:1464:1464:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Medellin

Metropolitanos
0 - 1
Medellin


Luis Moreno (29'), Valderrey (43')
Luis Moreno (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Batalla (46')
Ricaurte (31'), Alvarado (42'), Moreno (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Metropolitanos and Independiente Medellin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Metropolitanos 1-2 Internacional
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Metropolitanos 0-2 Independiente Medellin

While Independiente Medellin have struggled for results in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves to see off an inexperienced Metropolitanos side who have lost all four games so far. We predict that the visitors will pick up a third consecutive group win and edge closer to the knockout stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente Medellin.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawIndependiente Medellin
34.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.95% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 37.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86% (0.307 0.31)58.14% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2% (0.242 0.24)78.8% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.146 0.15)31.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.17 0.17)68.18% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.212 0.21)29.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.257 0.26)65.96% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 34.53%
    Independiente Medellin 37.52%
    Draw 27.95%
MetropolitanosDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Metropolitanos vs Medellin

Metropolitanos
29.4%
Draw
5.9%
Independiente Medellin
64.7%
17
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Medellin
4-2
Metropolitanos
Gruezo (1' og.)
Marchan (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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