Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal0 - 2Racing
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Racing Club |
| 36.15% | 26.76% | 37.09% |
| Both teams to score 51.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% | 74.93% |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% | 27.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.57% | 63.42% |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Cristal 36.15%
Racing Club 37.08%
Draw 26.76%
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.08% |
How you voted: Cristal vs Racing
Sporting Cristal
50.0%Draw
0.0%Racing Club
50.0%6
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Racing
2-1
Cristal
Jose Caceres (13'), Chancalay (83')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
Orban (48')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
Orban (48')
