MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 16:15:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lille

Nantes
vs.
Lille

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, March 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We say: Nantes 1-2 Lille

Nantes may have held Lille to a draw in the reverse fixture, but they have gone 18 games without a win against Les Dogues, and have lost at least one fixture against them in every season dating back to 2007. The hosts also have some of the worst home form in Ligue 1, meaning this is the perfect opportunity for Lille to extend their recent good form domestically, which has seen them win three of the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 29.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Nantes win is 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
NantesDrawLille
29.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 25.89% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 44.66% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.48% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)73.29% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (0.02300000000001 0.02)31.86% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.026 0.03)68.31% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)22.98% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.108 -0.11)56.77% (0.115 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 29.45%
    Lille 44.66%
    Draw 25.89%
NantesDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.45%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.66%

Who will win Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lille?

Nantes
Draw
Lille
Nantes
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lille
100%
2
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Abline (70' pen.)
Cozza (73'), Castelletto (89')
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Abline (54')
Mohamed (33'), Lafont (44'), Pallois (60'), Sissoko (74')
David (8', 11')
Zhegrova (44'), Bentaleb (81')
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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