Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.