Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Mansiche
Cesar Vallejo2 - 3Botafogo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cesar Vallejo and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result | ||
Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Botafogo |
36.24% ( 0.91) | 26.75% ( 0.12) | 37.02% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( -0.42) | 53.32% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.36) | 74.87% ( 0.36) |
Cesar Vallejo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( 0.34) | 28.3% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( 0.43) | 64.02% ( -0.43) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( -0.79) | 27.83% ( 0.79) |