Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Banco del Pacifico
Emelec1 - 1Guarani
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benitez (39')
Rios (55'), Rodrigo Lopez (56')
Rios (55'), Rodrigo Lopez (56')
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Emelec 2-1 Guarani
With so much left to play for, both Emelec and Guarani are expected to be fully up for the clash as they look to secure a place in the knockout phase. We expect an entertaining affair with high attacking endeavour and a narrow win for the hosts in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Guarani |
47.3% ( -0.16) | 28.13% ( 0.02) | 24.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
