Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guarani2 - 1Danubio
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guarani and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Danubio
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guarani | Draw | Danubio |
38.08% ( -1.88) | 27.33% ( -0.31) | 34.6% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
