Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Guarani1 - 1Emelec
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guarani and Emelec.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guarani | Draw | Emelec |
38.82% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( -0.08) | 34.4% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
