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Fluminense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense
3 - 0
Oriente

Cristiano (30'), Arias (39'), Zazpe (73' og.)
Xavier (4'), Andre (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mercado (30'), Caire (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Oriente Petrolero

Last Six:
    Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
    Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 21.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

    Result
    FluminenseDrawOriente Petrolero
    54.01%24.09%21.9%
    Both teams to score 51.1%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.07%49.93%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.09%71.91%
    Fluminense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.6%18.4%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.46%49.54%
    Oriente Petrolero Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    62.62%37.38%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    25.84%74.16%
    Score Analysis
        Fluminense 54.01%
        Oriente Petrolero 21.9%
        Draw 24.08%
    FluminenseDrawOriente Petrolero
    1-0 @ 11.64%
    2-0 @ 9.85%
    2-1 @ 9.7%
    3-0 @ 5.56%
    3-1 @ 5.47%
    3-2 @ 2.69%
    4-0 @ 2.35%
    4-1 @ 2.32%
    4-2 @ 1.14%
    Other @ 3.28%
    Total : 54.01%
    		1-1 @ 11.45%
    0-0 @ 6.88%
    2-2 @ 4.77%
    Other @ 0.98%
    Total : 24.08%
    		0-1 @ 6.77%
    1-2 @ 5.64%
    0-2 @ 3.33%
    1-3 @ 1.85%
    2-3 @ 1.57%
    0-3 @ 1.09%
    Other @ 1.66%
    Total : 21.9%

    How you voted: Fluminense vs Oriente

    Fluminense
    76.9%
    Draw
    7.7%
    Oriente Petrolero
    15.4%
    13
    rhs 2.0
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