Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermanos Colmenares win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hermanos Colmenares win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermanos Colmenares would win this match.