MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:34:51| >> :60:190:190:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Agustin Tovar

H. Colmenares
2 - 0
Deportivo

Magallan (44'), Gonzalez (55')
Melo (4'), Zapata (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Flores (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Hermanos Colmenares and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Deportivo 3-0 H. Colmenares
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermanos Colmenares win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hermanos Colmenares win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermanos Colmenares would win this match.

Result
Hermanos ColmenaresDrawDeportivo La Guaira
47.25%26.76%25.98%
Both teams to score 47.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25%56.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31%77.69%
Hermanos Colmenares Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7%58.3%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57%37.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79%74.21%
Score Analysis
    Hermanos Colmenares 47.25%
    Deportivo La Guaira 25.98%
    Draw 26.76%
Hermanos ColmenaresDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 9%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 25.98%

How you voted: Hermanos Colmenares vs Deportivo

Hermanos Colmenares
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Deportivo La Guaira
33.3%
6
rhs 2.0
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