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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero

America
3 - 1
Deportivo

Ramos (21' pen., 72'), Moreno (55')
Alejandro Paz (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ortiz (30')
Olses (20'), Pernia (79'), Pol (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between America de Cali and Deportivo La Guaira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
America de CaliDrawDeportivo La Guaira
33.61%26.89%39.49%
Both teams to score 50.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8%54.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4%75.6%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44%66.55%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Score Analysis
    America de Cali 33.62%
    Deportivo La Guaira 39.48%
    Draw 26.89%
America de CaliDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.48%

Head to Head
May 7, 2021 3am
Group Stage
Deportivo
0-0
America
Martinez (39')
Ortiz (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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