MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 14:47:35| >> :60:216:216:
Medellin
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
4 - 0
Palestino

Roman (29' og.), Alvarado (42'), Chaverra (66' pen.), Perlaza (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Roman (34'), Davila (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente Medellin and Palestino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

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Last Game: Palestino 2-2 Medellin
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Palestino

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Palestino 2-2 Medellin
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Independiente Medellin 2-1 Palestino

 Following last week's result, Independiente Medellin and Palestino will need no extra motivation on Wednesday as they look to reach the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals — a stage that they have both never progressed past in the history of the tournament. While we expect both sides to go all out at the Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, we fancy the Colombian outfit to come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 25.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawPalestino
48.32% (-0.261 -0.26) 26.24% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.44% (0.257 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.56% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (0.166 0.17)55.19% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.137 0.14)76.43% (-0.136 -0.14)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)22.87% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (-0.07 -0.07)56.61% (0.07 0.07)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (0.317 0.32)37.04% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (0.314 0.31)73.83% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 48.31%
    Palestino 25.44%
    Draw 26.24%
Independiente MedellinDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.44%

How you voted: Medellin vs Palestino

Independiente Medellin
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Palestino
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Palestino
2-2
Medellin
Roman (48'), Benitez (50')
Linares (64')
Varela (41', 90+3')
Perlaza (84')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Medellin
1-1
Palestino
(Aggregate 1-1 | Palestino win 4-1 on penalties)
Murillo (45')
Angulo (45')
Jimenez (42')
Jimenez (43'), Gonzalez (45'), Mago (45'), Soto (92')
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Palestino
1-1
Medellin
Fernandez (64')
Fernandez (74'), Guerrero (77')
Cano (60')
Mosquera (27'), Parra (61'), Angulo (70')
rhs 2.0
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