MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 08:32:40| >> :60:568:568:
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Medellin

Lanus
0 - 0
Medellin


Loaiza (43'), Perlaza (72')
FT

Muniz (40'), Carrera (71'), Sandoval (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Lanus and Independiente Medellin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Union
Friday, September 13 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Medellin 4-0 Palestino
Thursday, August 22 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Lanus 3-1 Independiente Medellin

Lanus have demonstrated their strength in this competition and on home soil, which could prove too much for Medellin to handle. The visitors have performed poorly away from home and have struggled in recent weeks as well, which is why we predict them to lose this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente Medellin
54.72% (-0.138 -0.14) 24.1% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 21.17% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.09% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (0.059000000000005 0.06)50.78% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.67% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)18.45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)49.63% (0.055 0.05)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (0.157 0.16)38.58% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (0.149 0.15)75.33% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 54.72%
    Independiente Medellin 21.17%
    Draw 24.09%
LanusDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 12.03% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Lanus vs Medellin

Lanus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Independiente Medellin
0.0%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!