Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus0 - 0Medellin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Union
Friday, September 13 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, September 13 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Medellin 4-0 Palestino
Thursday, August 22 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 22 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Lanus 3-1 Independiente Medellin
Lanus have demonstrated their strength in this competition and on home soil, which could prove too much for Medellin to handle. The visitors have performed poorly away from home and have struggled in recent weeks as well, which is why we predict them to lose this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lanus | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
54.72% ( -0.14) | 24.1% ( 0.02) | 21.17% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% ( 0.06) | 50.78% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% ( 0.05) | 72.67% ( -0.05) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% ( -0.03) | 18.45% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.37% ( -0.05) | 49.63% ( 0.05) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.41% ( 0.16) | 38.58% ( -0.15) |