MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 05:23:28| >> :120:5240:5240:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Penarol

Millonarios
3 - 1
Penarol

Arias (9'), Menosse (23' og.), Bustamante (29')
Llinas (48'), Vega (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Arezo (49' pen.)
Cristoforo (11'), Betancor (53'), Aguirregaray (62'), Milans (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millonarios would win this match.

Result
MillonariosDrawPenarol
46.26% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.74% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.16% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)78.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)24.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.22% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (0.067 0.07)37.01% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.065999999999999 0.07)73.8% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 46.26%
    Penarol 26.74%
    Draw 27%
MillonariosDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 12.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.74%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Penarol
0-2
Millonarios

Homenchenko (32'), Menosse (71'), Rodriguez (77')
Perlaza (54'), Cortes (65')
Llinas (49'), Castro (64')
rhs 2.0
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