Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 13, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 1Wanderers
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Penarol
Tuesday, May 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, May 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-3 Fenix
Saturday, May 6 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 6 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
48.42% ( 0.28) | 27.73% ( -0.1) | 23.84% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 43.15% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.55% ( 0.19) | 61.45% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.67% ( 0.14) | 81.33% ( -0.14) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( 0.22) | 25.57% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( 0.3) | 60.44% ( -0.31) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% ( -0.06) | 42.02% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% ( -0.05) | 78.45% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 48.42%
Montevideo Wanderers 23.84%
Draw 27.73%
Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
1-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.84% |
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 11.30pm
Jul 16, 2022 11pm
gameweek 5
Wanderers
3-3
Penarol
Oct 4, 2021 1am
gameweek 4
Penarol
3-0
Wanderers
Jun 7, 2021 12.15am
Form Guide