Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol2 - 0Fenix
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Fenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-2 Penarol
Sunday, April 23 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 23 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 2-1 Danubio
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
57.42% ( -0.34) | 23.9% ( 0.15) | 18.67% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
