Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Colon had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.