Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ1 - 0Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 AZ
Saturday, January 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
33
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Roma
Given AZ's glowing home record and Roma's fragility on the road, one point would represent a good return for the Italian side. Both teams are enjoying some fine form, so an entertaining contest could be on the cards in Alkmaar. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Roma |
51.86% ( -0.19) | 24.28% ( 0.24) | 23.86% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( -1.07) | 48.72% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( -0.98) | 70.83% ( 0.98) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.48) | 18.77% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.84% ( -0.81) | 50.16% ( 0.81) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.63) | 34.88% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.67) | 71.62% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 51.86%
Roma 23.86%
Draw 24.27%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.86% |
How you voted: AZ vs Roma
AZ Alkmaar
35.4%Draw
23.4%Roma
41.1%209
Form Guide
