MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 22:46:39| >> :60:730:730:
AZ Alkmaar
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Roma logo

AZ
vs.
Roma

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 AZ
Saturday, January 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Roma

Given AZ's glowing home record and Roma's fragility on the road, one point would represent a good return for the Italian side. Both teams are enjoying some fine form, so an entertaining contest could be on the cards in Alkmaar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for Roma has a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (6.8%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRoma
51.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 24.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.09% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)47.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.023 -0.02)70.14% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (-0.012 -0.01)49.75% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)34.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)70.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 51.76%
    Roma 24.09%
    Draw 24.15%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.09%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ and Roma?

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Roma
AZ Alkmaar
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Roma
42.9%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!