We said: Fenerbahce 2-2 Lyon
Fenerbahce, and Mourinho in particular, are often strong at home in Europe, but this will be a tough challenge against a Lyon side who are unbeaten away from the Groupama Stadium in Europe so far this season.
It has been a challenging week for the visitors with some very poor results and upheaval continuing off the field, but they still have the quality to compete here in the fight for a top-eight spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.