Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.