Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 2Cittadella
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Empoli and Cittadella.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Como
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Cittadella |
32.29% ( -0.29) | 25.47% ( 0.16) | 42.24% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.4% ( -0.77) | 48.6% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% ( -0.7) | 70.72% ( 0.7) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% ( -0.56) | 28.45% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.79% ( -0.71) | 64.21% ( 0.72) |
Cittadella Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( -0.27) | 22.89% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( -0.39) | 56.64% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli 32.29%
Cittadella 42.24%
Draw 25.47%
Empoli | Draw | Cittadella |
1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.24% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Cittadella
Empoli
66.7%Draw
33.3%Cittadella
0.0%6
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Nov 21, 2020 1pm
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Sep 21, 2019 2pm
Aug 12, 2018 7.30pm