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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Bologna logo

Empoli
3 - 1
Bologna

Lucumi (1' og.), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Cambiaghi (68')
Parisi (27'), Henderson (66'), Bandinelli (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsolini (88' pen.)
Motta (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Bologna

A closely-fought contest between two out-of-sorts sides is set to take place on Thursday with Empoli boasting the psychological edge considering their strong head-to-head record over Bologna. However, we believe that the visitors can follow up their draw with Juventus by picking up at least a point at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawBologna
33.83% (-0.127 -0.13) 26.38% (0.105 0.11) 39.79% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.46 -0.46)52.07% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.4 -0.4)73.8% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.30600000000001 -0.31)29.17% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (-0.379 -0.38)65.11% (0.381 0.38)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.196 -0.2)25.69% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (-0.27 -0.27)60.61% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 33.83%
    Bologna 39.78%
    Draw 26.37%
EmpoliDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.83%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.78%

How you voted: Empoli vs Bologna

Empoli
29.9%
Draw
28.4%
Bologna
41.8%
67
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2pm
gameweek 7
Bologna
0-1
Empoli
Bandinelli (75')
Grassi (89')
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 24
Bologna
0-0
Empoli

Schouten (23'), De Silvestri (40')

Asllani (31'), Bandinelli (40'), Parisi (59'), Cacace (90')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
gameweek 6
Empoli
4-2
Bologna
Bonifazi (1' og.), Pinamonti (32'), Bajrami (54' pen.), Ricci (90')
Henderson (34'), Pinamonti (67')
Barrow (11'), Arnautovic (77')
Vignato (24'), Orsolini (90+4')
Apr 27, 2019 2pm
gameweek 34
Bologna
3-1
Empoli
Soriano (52'), Orsolini (83'), Sansone (90')
M'baye (25'), Orsolini (35'), Soriano (78')
Pajac (17')
Pajac (7'), Krunic (54')
Dec 9, 2018 2pm
gameweek 15
Empoli
2-1
Bologna
Caputo (10'), La Gumina (80')
Veseli (35'), Capezzi (45')
Poli (41')
Poli (23'), Dzemaili (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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