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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lazio logo

Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio


Akpa-Akpro (14'), Cambiaghi (37')
Cambiaghi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Lazio

Lazio have only lost four times on the road this term, so there is every chance of the Aquile soaring to victory in Empoli - which is no mean feat, given the hosts' recent results there: Sarri's side can score from several sources and also boast the second-best defensive record in Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLazio
28.04% (2.019 2.02) 26.71% (1.081 1.08) 45.25% (-3.101 -3.1)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-1.704 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-2.943 -2.94)55.39% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-2.472 -2.47)76.59% (2.472 2.47)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (0.058999999999997 0.06)34.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (0.063999999999997 0.06)71.73% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-2.692 -2.69)24.4% (2.693 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-3.952 -3.95)58.81% (3.953 3.95)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 28.04%
    Lazio 45.24%
    Draw 26.71%
EmpoliDrawLazio
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.988 0.99)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.253 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.526 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.04%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.929 0.93)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.195 -0.19)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.386 -0.39)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.545 -0.55)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.526 -0.53)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.317 -0.32)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lazio

Empoli
Draw
Lazio
Empoli
15.6%
Draw
19.5%
Lazio
64.9%
77
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
gameweek 17
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
Anderson (2'), Zaccagni (54')
Caputo (83'), Marin (90+3')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Lazio
3-3
Empoli
Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')
Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Empoli
1-3
Lazio
Bandinelli (4')
Stojanovic (38'), Ismajli (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Lazzari (31'), Immobile (41' pen.)
Leiva (29')
Feb 7, 2019 7.30pm
gameweek 23
Lazio
1-0
Empoli
Caicedo (42' pen.)
Neto (90')

Acquah (90')
Sep 16, 2018 5pm
gameweek 4
Empoli
0-1
Lazio

Silvestre (7'), Bennacer (34')
Parolo (47')
Parolo (42'), Durmisi (80'), Marusic (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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