MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 11:25:23| >> :600:3613031:3613031:
Lecce logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Parma logo

Lecce
2 - 4
Parma

Piccoli (54'), Espeto (76')
Espeto (72'), Berisha (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sohm (9'), Bonny (28'), Pongracic (90+4' og.), Man (90+7' pen.)
Mihaila (33'), Coulibaly (74'), Zagaritis (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Lecce and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Torino
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ascoli 1-3 Parma
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in Serie B

We said: Lecce 2-1 Parma

Lecce have struggled for goals of late, but a change of personnel could help them recover their poise in the final third. Under Fabio Pecchia, Parma rarely concede more than once, but their hosts have some skilful forwards that can open up the Gialloblu's back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawParma
44.47% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 26.92% (0.123 0.12) 28.61% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.9% (-0.465 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12% (-0.549 -0.55)55.87% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01% (-0.449 -0.45)76.99% (0.444 0.44)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)24.99% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.305 -0.31)59.65% (0.298 0.3)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (-0.432 -0.43)34.8% (0.426 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (-0.456 -0.46)71.53% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 44.46%
    Parma 28.61%
    Draw 26.92%
LecceDrawParma
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.61%

How you voted: Lecce vs Parma

Lecce
40.7%
Draw
25.9%
Parma
33.3%
27
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Parma
0-0
Lecce
Tutino (27'), Larangeira (43'), Cobbaut (61'), Vazquez (84')
Hjulmand (27'), Coda (36')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
4-0
Parma
Coda (16', 31' pen., 44'), Espeto (37')
Lucioni (33'), Espeto (54')

Busi (68')
Aug 15, 2021 5pm
First Round
Parma
1-3
Lecce
Brunetta (7')
Sohm (58')
Coda (9', 76'), Tuia (40')
Gendrey (27'), Olivieri (46')
Aug 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
3-4
Parma
Barak (40'), Meccariello (45'), Lapadula (68')
Lucioni (11' og.), Caprari (24'), Cornelius (52'), Inglese (66')
Kurtic (34'), Alves (45')
Jan 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Parma
2-0
Lecce
Iacoponi (57'), Cornelius (72')
Hernani (33'), Inglese (63'), Alves (80'), Darmian (82')

Petriccione (41'), Falco (58')
rhs 2.0
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