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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Sassuolo

Krstovic (48')
Rafia (44'), Krstovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berardi (22' pen.)
Boloca (1'), Holmgren Pedersen (43'), Marco Ferrari (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Sassuolo

Sassuolo have never lost to Lecce in six previous meetings - winning on three occasions, including completing the double last season with two 1-0 wins. While it is never quite clear what Sassuolo will show up, Lecce may be reeling from two quick-fire defeats last week and could struggle to maintain their position near the top, making the visitors slight favourites to keep up their fine run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.4% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.68% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 31.91% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.71% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-0.286 -0.29)45.22% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (-0.274 -0.27)67.57% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.218 -0.22)20.91% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (-0.343 -0.34)53.63% (0.338 0.34)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)27.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)62.4% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.4%
    Sassuolo 31.91%
    Draw 24.68%
LecceDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
29.5%
Draw
19.2%
Sassuolo
51.3%
78
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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