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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Genoa logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Genoa

 Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
49.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 27.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.92% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)24.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.65% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (0.026 0.03)79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 49.68%
    Genoa 22.93%
    Draw 27.38%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.74%
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.93%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
55.9%
Draw
23.5%
Genoa
20.6%
68
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
> Preview
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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